TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Independiente win on 2026-04-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No60c19,981$11,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,992.4619151.3%98 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Yes2c15,892$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes40c10,184$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.912,60839.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L-29.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Yes40c4,198$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.291947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c4,111$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.763,44951.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No59c3,015$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.8820046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes43c2,850$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.998050%40 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No57c2,721$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.9113059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No57c2,203$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.321758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes43c2,178$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.771973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5534…1036backed Yes13c1,791$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No57c1,705$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.0916558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No58c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8910846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf66…3436backed Yes14c1,629$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.473345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae4…0ddebacked Yes7c1,596$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes40c1,473$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.227449.3%135 W · 139 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes7c1,349$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.425113.7%7 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes43c1,284$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.412268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes40c1,265$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.1452649.8%262 W · 264 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes40c1,186$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.3965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes41c1,140$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.43151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes44c1,098$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes9c1,051$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c996.83$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.631,70352%886 W · 817 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes40c964$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.623057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No57c878.15$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.6125155.4%139 W · 112 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes11c867.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.641442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No68c851.32$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.541,51146.1%697 W · 814 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked No59c833.56$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.693360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes42c826.8$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.269953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes14c677.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8446530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes40c578.4$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3617352%90 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.827648.9%135 W · 141 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes40c434.26$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.961,44251.9%748 W · 694 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1767149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17215857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No57c389.68$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5621658.8%127 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No57c389.68$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5616659.6%99 W · 67 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c365.37$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.723,81738.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes43c310.02$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.313135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked No56c309.01$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes17c305.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4614022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes16c303.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4725925.1%65 W · 194 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes25c299.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0910247.1%48 W · 54 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes40c294.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.815141.1%62 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes40c255.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1422853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No57c243.55$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7321857.8%126 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No57c243.55$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7320560.5%124 W · 81 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No80c230.5$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.411,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No57c230$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.930754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Yes42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.521050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes12c224.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.98137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6431745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3b…52afbacked Yes44c199.24$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+81.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Yes12c197.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes7c175.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.274535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes14c164.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8613739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes40c162.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.142,65554.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No57c155.94$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5947758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes40c155.4$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1613049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes41c152.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.73145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.522258.6%130 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes14c149.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8610031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes13c132.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.251643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes44c121.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1411339.8%45 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes16c118.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.996654.5%36 W · 30 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6a94…8860backed Yes40c112.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes10c104.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4131130.9%96 W · 215 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes14c101.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.231369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes40c98.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5833266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes39c97.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.81,46656.8%833 W · 633 L+56.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No57c97.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No57c97.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8918959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No59c94.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1121345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Yes40c90.62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.254667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.12653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No57c89.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.75855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes16c89.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.245143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes46c88.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.641942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No57c83.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0841256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes39c79.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1523551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes13c78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a14…7720backed Yes26c74.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.171233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked No57c71.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes22c63.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8113023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Yes42c60.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5317261%105 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes40c56.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.734255%188 W · 154 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes42c50.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.233053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No57c48.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.953141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes40c47.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9626160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No57c47.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1326455.3%146 W · 118 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes41c46.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.293345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258a…ff4fbacked Yes42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No53c44.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7833745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…1075backed Yes42c43.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…cedebacked Yes43c39.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes40c39.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.818350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes40c36.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5844959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No57c34.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6938861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.