Token Launches · resolved market
Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5845c01f34c075a35cad71e25a72b8007bd43db3e9aaf4631d41b386087a7ad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3b6…86abbacked Yes | 10c | 11,004$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.98 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…256ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 2,755$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526c…b115backed Yes | 33c | 2,592$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…a9c8backed Yes | 8c | 1,700$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…8b68backed No | 67c | 1,692$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…c153backed No | 70c | 1,434$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…25e9backed No | 72c | 1,252$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…da21backed No | 61c | 1,247$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 63c | 1,187$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.49 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…b678backed Yes | 9c | 868.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…4df5backed Yes | 5c | 828.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273a…3963backed Yes | 37c | 812.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 72c | 786.66$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.93 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0213…f7e3backed Yes | 25c | 634.03$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 73c | 610.71$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.07 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 12c | 600$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 79c | 594.41$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…c7c4backed No | 79c | 580.95$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…3627backed Yes | 12c | 566.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 35c | 546.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.33 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 539.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…4193backed Yes | 50c | 496.04$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…da74backed Yes | 22c | 462.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 22c | 450.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…53bbbacked Yes | 53c | 444.86$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…2e53backed Yes | 24c | 426.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 379$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 375.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…976bbacked No | 56c | 367$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26a…c644backed Yes | 11c | 366.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…ccddbacked Yes | 11c | 363.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 24c | 328.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 38c | 320.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…600dbacked Yes | 34c | 297.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…31c9backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…6effbacked Yes | 31c | 248.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked No | 73c | 238.58$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 61c | 230$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 225.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…83a0backed Yes | 29c | 213.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 211.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 6c | 200.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0c…6b78backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed No | 76c | 198.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 65c | 182.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…7a42backed Yes | 31c | 175.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…b8edbacked No | 63c | 167.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed No | 72c | 137.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 18c | 135$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b96…19babacked Yes | 45c | 109.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4071…3de4backed Yes | 23c | 108.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked No | 74c | 107.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016a…d347backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…e211backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…32f3backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…66a8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked No | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…540bbacked Yes | 30c | 80.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…26adbacked Yes | 26c | 75.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc134…a150backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd5…4836backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7c…95f0backed Yes | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 65c | 69.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked No | 63c | 67.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…fc3dbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede3…e3f2backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…c297backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 74c | 40.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb10…af05backed Yes | 31c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 65c | 31.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…6438backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…93fcbacked Yes | 34c | 29.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9138backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f4…32a2backed No | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…59d8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b84…5061backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…24a5backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…b655backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2025?this page
- Will Fogo launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes won
- Will Fogo launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes won
- Will Fogo launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.