Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c5db12286a48d9dded7baac2676ae06419b7560ed8160646eb806850eacdb9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6641…fccdbacked No | 59c | 1,066$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.01 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 688.66$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 11c | 454$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed No | 43c | 419$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.79 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 364.48$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 56c | 347$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 346.23$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 51c | 340.82$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 49c | 307.36$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 41c | 283$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 276.32$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 71c | 260.96$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 231.83$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Yes | 61c | 162.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 41c | 151.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 140.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 38c | 122$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 121.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 71c | 108.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 28c | 107.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 37c | 104.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 41c | 103.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 100.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 73c | 93.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 91.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 31c | 77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 41c | 73.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 41c | 67.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 68c | 53.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 50c | 47.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 60c | 46.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 57c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…149abacked Yes | 28c | 37.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 59c | 30.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-05?Yes won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.