Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4854839b69a96a9cff33e0a28e0dac5e32203a842a2a203e1f956d9af663b90a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 22c | 6,054$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.04 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,881$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.23 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked No | 64c | 2,855$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.46 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 2,850$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.89 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 21c | 1,773$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.7 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 1,735$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.77 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 957.5$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 69c | 742.91$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 25c | 720.49$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 29c | 679.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…7f8bbacked Yes | 25c | 601.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 577.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 66c | 458.5$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 32c | 383.07$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 232.43$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…aa3fbacked Yes | 18c | 231.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed No | 76c | 210$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9232backed Yes | 26c | 206.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 166.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 149.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed No | 74c | 139.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 17c | 117.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 111$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 100.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 64c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 77c | 83.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 29c | 82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 73.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 67c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 18c | 71.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 41c | 50.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 67c | 50.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked No | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 64c | 39.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 79c | 28.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 64c | 23.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 78c | 18.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed No | 75c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 78c | 15.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…2dd8backed No | 79c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-05?this page
- Will FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.