Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28d338a2e9726422c6abd6900e4df53f023223adb54431c93efcfdb524918115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 40c | 10,138$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.83 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 7,907$4,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.31 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,669$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Yes | 39c | 755.62$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed No | 19c | 450$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 446$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 58c | 432.06$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.06 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 431$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 431$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 43c | 418.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.84 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 16c | 312$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 289$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 229.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 34c | 175.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 14c | 164.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 54c | 100.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 61c | 74.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 60c | 47.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 60c | 40.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yes | 43c | 39.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Yes | 68c | 39.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 41c | 35.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 60c | 32.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 30.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 59c | 30.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes | 40c | 26.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 59c | 24.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed No | 60c | 17.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Halmstads BK vs. Vasteraas SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.