Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f66ea4842f8a4fc0ffedc63a64d51ecfaec9ba25f551f3d253972dee3a1e4e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 30c | 2,064$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.31 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 70c | 553.67$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 39c | 479.44$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 71c | 422.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 40c | 403.14$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 396.15$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 30c | 339.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 271.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 70c | 234$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 33c | 227.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3a…d3e3backed No | 50c | 205.62$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 57 | 86%49 W · 8 L | +11.2wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 188.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 28c | 138.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 27c | 123.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 25c | 120.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…dfcabacked Yes | 75c | 100.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 239 | 51%122 W · 117 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 48c | 93.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 52c | 93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 91.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 74c | 91.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 39c | 79.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 50c | 73.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 53c | 67.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 49c | 66.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed No | 35c | 65.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 384 | 54.9%211 W · 173 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 31c | 64.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 33c | 63.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 32c | 60.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 71c | 57.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 28c | 54.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 27c | 49.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 28c | 44.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 66c | 42.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…ca53backed Yes | 56c | 40.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 73c | 40.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 26c | 40.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…0662backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…9cc6backed No | 51c | 38.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 43c | 38.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…43f9backed No | 72c | 35.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…aac9backed Yes | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…50ccbacked Yes | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 59c | 28.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 66c | 28.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 67c | 26.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 51c | 26.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked No | 75c | 26.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f1…eed4backed Yes | 75c | 26.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked No | 70c | 25.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 73c | 25.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…3cc3backed No | 68c | 23.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 72c | 23.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 64c | 21.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 53c | 21.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…6e63backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…d53fbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…cd19backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 58c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 69c | 17.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b929backed No | 69c | 17.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 70c | 17.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 60c | 16.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed No | 70c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 280 | 68.6%192 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 72c | 16.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed Yes | 79c | 16.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749c…6301backed No | 73c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…91afbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.