Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e7df212b13b830277a138b76a07619fa08ea8a43e0eea5c64a60724dfd7f249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Yes | 35c | 11,429$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,428.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 4,407$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.99 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 3,416$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.59 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…a6cebacked Yes | 29c | 3,103$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 3,083$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.18 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 2,394$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.4 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 65c | 1,371$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.43 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…bd90backed No | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 998.15$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.8 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…4d5bbacked No | 39c | 522.05$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 10c | 499.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 420.86$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.56 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 408.09$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.72 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 384$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 384$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 384$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 70c | 278.93$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 51c | 257.37$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.18 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 23c | 254.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 65c | 240$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 46c | 108.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 14c | 102.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 71c | 95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 84.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Yes | 35c | 57.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 51c | 46.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 44.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 67c | 42.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 42.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 69c | 29.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 71c | 23.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 72c | 20.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.