Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe63d161436a96020a886c90c12242cc8cc1a6cb7103694a971572fda3250ffc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Yes | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 3,803$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.11 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 2,707$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.87 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,004$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.12 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 1,640$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.47 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 1,223$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.36 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 1,183$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.11 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 59c | 1,033$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.51 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 41c | 711.98$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.91 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 41c | 658.54$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 60c | 402.02$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 11c | 327.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…3d37backed Yes | 36c | 278.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 260.94$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 37c | 249.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 240.25$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Yes | 36c | 177.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 64c | 155.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 74c | 154.83$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…d511backed No | 59c | 152.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 12c | 133.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 25c | 122.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 41c | 73.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 38c | 65.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 40c | 45.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…3b09backed Yes | 36c | 41.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…0ec9backed No | 59c | 33.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 62c | 30.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9c…ee2fbacked Yes | 41c | 29.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Yes | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…5828backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 61c | 23.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 65c | 21.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 61c | 21.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 64c | 20.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-04?Yes won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.