TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will GAIS win on 2026-07-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d06…7910backed No61c20,004$12,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,837.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c4,992$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.942,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c3,922$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.145,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes39c1,758$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.747,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes39c1,667$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65018344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50415945.9%73 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.84136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes39c1,154$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9918343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes33c1,005$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.2320742.5%88 W · 119 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes39c641$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes39c641$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes39c641$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.991,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes42c630.73$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26412337.4%46 W · 77 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes9c555$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574f…6849backed Yes41c542.68$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Yes40c509.3$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed Yes45c438$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.11711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-76%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No60c331.38$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6146044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes39c308.2$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.351,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11421953.4%117 W · 102 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022349.3%110 W · 113 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c280.15$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.411,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No71c267.68$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.882,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No59c262$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.427338.4%28 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes40c202.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1591148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0d…4e69backed Yes41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed No55c177$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.41060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Yes47c169.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6718248.4%88 W · 94 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes39c147.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.618251.2%42 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed No59c140.84$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.751070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes40c123.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9853655.2%296 W · 240 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec8…e97ebacked No60c122.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410612.3%13 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes15c119.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5110436.5%38 W · 66 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes37c92.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.331,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58a…6b63backed Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes41c73.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.995543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No69c69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.692532%8 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-47%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked No60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes18c64.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick24cpaid-12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f74…2d62backed Yes30c53.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked No58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205536.4%20 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Yes41c44.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.245743.9%25 W · 32 L-8.1wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes40c37.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532835.4%116 W · 212 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes41c35.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.711631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe763…149abacked Yes42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes44c34.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.143852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed No67c32.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.892347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710245.1%46 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No58c29.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4526051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa8e…2555backed No60c28.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No61c28.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2214759.9%88 W · 59 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked No58c20.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.842653.8%14 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No60c19.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.987455.4%41 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No66c16.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.687745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5111…a164backed No64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.