Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f44bbc1945057ffcdd73add5dddba77bcc2fc3cee1e78feec90c72bbda5132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,630 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 11,800$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,537.35 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.81 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 1,218$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.82 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 56c | 1,047$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.81 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 14c | 942.11$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 858.78$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.66 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 14c | 662.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 7c | 504.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 71c | 422.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 103 | 78.6%81 W · 22 L | +22.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 398.22$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 6c | 373.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 56c | 323.75$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 316.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 303.65$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 14c | 293$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 29c | 284.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 15c | 273$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 15c | 249.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 153.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…78b4backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…4dc7backed Yes | 45c | 122.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 44c | 107.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…1047backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 16c | 98.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 14c | 84.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked No | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Yes | 52c | 75.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…4c0bbacked Yes | 53c | 57.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab64…a24abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked No | 58c | 43.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…d031backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 42.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 47c | 33.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 43c | 27.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.