Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd111bc39c1dfe16e3da34ca9790820923d8549fcbb8bc8034f6468a0e8da9096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,152 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 32c | 2,852$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.08 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 2,835$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.62 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 57c | 2,662$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.67 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 1,259$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.22 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 23c | 1,200$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.99 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…3f69backed Yes | 69c | 965$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 34c | 886.21$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.7 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 788.3$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.1 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 67c | 447.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.82 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 40c | 411.27$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.31 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 62c | 337.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 53c | 311.34$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 38c | 188.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 43c | 172.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 33c | 159.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 21c | 145.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 40c | 137.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 104.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 22c | 98.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 34c | 91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 90.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 29c | 81.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 22c | 77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 51.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 42.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 78c | 23.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.