TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

La Salle Explorers vs. Duquesne Dukes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Duquesne Dukesof La Salle Explorers, Duquesne Dukes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked La Salle Explorers16c4,964$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.151,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Duquesne Dukes71c3,583$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.063,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked La Salle Explorers56c2,826$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.381,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed La Salle Explorers3c1,400$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.94710.6%5 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Duquesne Dukes36c1,221$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.941,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Duquesne Dukes27c1,162$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.8815447.4%73 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Duquesne Dukes46c1,018$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.572,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Duquesne Dukes55c918.94$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.741,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed La Salle Explorers10c834$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.93714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed La Salle Explorers14c668.76$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.432,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duquesne Dukes65c600.96$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.871,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked La Salle Explorers6c600$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed La Salle Explorers14c597.97$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4937835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duquesne Dukes53c594.78$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.171,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed La Salle Explorers8c589.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.813033.3%10 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+57.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed La Salle Explorers4c540$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2434943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked La Salle Explorers15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Duquesne Dukes42c474.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.343,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Duquesne Dukes55c418.61$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Duquesne Dukes65c367.58$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.331,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed La Salle Explorers20c358.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.083,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff25…960cbacked La Salle Explorers14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421323.1%3 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick7cpaid+303.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked La Salle Explorers15c299.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duquesne Dukes61c244$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.011,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Duquesne Dukes40c227$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1412540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed La Salle Explorers14c225$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.56549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked La Salle Explorers15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Duquesne Dukes27c185.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8753635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Duquesne Dukes27c153.61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.61,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed La Salle Explorers16c149.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9112141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Duquesne Dukes54c136.43$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.672,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes23c132.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.764,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked La Salle Explorers60c128.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed La Salle Explorers14c124.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.885,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed La Salle Explorers18c123.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.681,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed La Salle Explorers13c109.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.082,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed La Salle Explorers25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.93517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked La Salle Explorers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed La Salle Explorers47c99.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.461,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed Duquesne Dukes50c98.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.135844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed La Salle Explorers21c97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.374930.6%15 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f97…eaa2backed La Salle Explorers16c94.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.061216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed La Salle Explorers15c91.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed La Salle Explorers13c89.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Duquesne Dukes51c76.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.561050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Duquesne Dukes52c44.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed La Salle Explorers74c40.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Duquesne Dukes46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7931666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Duquesne Dukes29c39.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.761833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+120.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ae3…4dd4backed Duquesne Dukes59c39.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.275060%30 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb34…a600backed Duquesne Dukes80c30.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed La Salle Explorers51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.399848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.