Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Filip Misolic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5ec26d5794d8d39df8e68e17e0d1db7c6783ae69a29963492c4e734a74734b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Majchrzakof Majchrzak, Misolic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Misolic | 0c | 26,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Misolic | 31c | 5,489$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.62 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Majchrzak | 70c | 3,168$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Majchrzak | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Majchrzak | 73c | 480.74$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Majchrzak | 69c | 420.48$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Majchrzak | 71c | 368.64$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Majchrzak | 69c | 308.19$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Majchrzak | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Misolic | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Misolic | 27c | 279.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Majchrzak | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Misolic | 14c | 123.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Majchrzak | 69c | 94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Misolic | 29c | 84.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Majchrzak | 69c | 73.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Misolic | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Misolic | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Misolic | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Majchrzak | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.