Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c5afcab7ab1f47d0661a79bc91b5fda11d5c43216ac4bf07de412015bd6bb15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8d7…382cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,014$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,223$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 69c | 1,050$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.16 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 25c | 851.06$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.63 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 445.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 42c | 367$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.16 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 43c | 344.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.57 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd5…17cbbacked Yes | 44c | 290.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 16c | 248.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 68c | 240.61$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 19c | 240.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.19 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 16c | 222.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.42 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 63c | 199.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 164.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 11c | 164.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 22c | 150.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 20c | 145.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…2529backed No | 20c | 128.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 50c | 114.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 25c | 108.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 37c | 104.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 42c | 100.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 29c | 96.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c2…0c32backed No | 63c | 89.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 58c | 89.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…f375backed Yes | 34c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…15c8backed Yes | 39c | 77.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 57c | 68.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 64.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 40c | 63.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 69c | 61.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 58.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 53.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 20c | 52.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked No | 54c | 50.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 201 | 73.1%147 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 36c | 45.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…c9e1backed No | 34c | 41.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 63c | 41.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed Yes | 59c | 41.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…c0cebacked Yes | 38c | 39.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed Yes | 61c | 35.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…8f33backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 121 | 74.4%90 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 39c | 33.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…10b4backed No | 45c | 32.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes | 36c | 29.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 68c | 29.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…3884backed Yes | 38c | 29.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…e3babacked Yes | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ee…983cbacked Yes | 35c | 28.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…da59backed No | 53c | 28.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 58c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 62c | 25.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 66c | 25.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 62c | 24.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 53c | 23.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 62c | 18.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 65c | 17.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 64c | 17.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…f0eabacked No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 93 | 62.4%58 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.