AI · resolved market
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x644dd4508fb9e36094d94403a3f58e860a6f601ef8a3ce689e98c5a120906e5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 21c | 531.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 10c | 528.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.99 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…2721backed No | 48c | 472.1$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…be8fbacked No | 47c | 277.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 59c | 270.04$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.02 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Yes | 15c | 240.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.11 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ce…ed1abacked Yes | 18c | 226.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +175.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 29c | 225.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked No | 31c | 225$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…1eafbacked No | 7c | 213.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6716…95cdbacked No | 14c | 136.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 39c | 120.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…6528backed No | 64c | 110.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…da8dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…8730backed No | 31c | 97.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…ca94backed No | 27c | 82.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 69c | 77.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 31c | 77.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…864bbacked Yes | 31c | 67.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed Yes | 61c | 65.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…d4bdbacked Yes | 58c | 64.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 32c | 62.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 24c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004a…1146backed No | 57c | 55.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked No | 48c | 54.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6029…968ebacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed No | 59c | 45.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 46c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0ce8backed Yes | 36c | 36.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09b…0a70backed No | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 44c | 34.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…390bbacked No | 48c | 21.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f3…8d50backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…598fbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1929…346bbacked Yes | 63c | 19.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?this page
- Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 50B in Q1?Yes won
- Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 55B in Q1?Yes won
- Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 60B in Q1?Yes won
- Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 65B in Q1?Yes won
- Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 70B in Q1?Yes won
- Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 80B in Q1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.