Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed231521f9bf9848da6950e1cc9ab05e6acd777b2a96fb56c41eca8fe0d32cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercer Bearsof Mercer Bears, East Tennessee State Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf58d…a617backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 73c | 766$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 73c | 684$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Mercer Bears | 27c | 543$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 73c | 526$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Mercer Bears | 27c | 470$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +265%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked Mercer Bears | 27c | 328$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…62ecbacked Mercer Bears | 27c | 291$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed Mercer Bears | 27c | 198$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +267.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Mercer Bears | 27c | 113$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Mercer Bears | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 73c | 99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed Mercer Bears | 27c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Mercer Bears | 79c | 20.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.