Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1efb7fcaaaa90a780f1ab99efa1b19138965ed6839283abf32e1647c1ecfc6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,950 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 43c | 33,271$14,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,964.29 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 2,541$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 2,127$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.26 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 1,526$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.82 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 45c | 1,196$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.25 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 664.93$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.44 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 60c | 511.6$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.97 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 57c | 508$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 60c | 435.8$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.31 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…4f97backed Yes | 34c | 381.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Yes | 50c | 356.73$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 56c | 319.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 41c | 297.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 272$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 57c | 239.79$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 44c | 227.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 26c | 216$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.34 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 23c | 194$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 59c | 161.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 42c | 121$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 49c | 106.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 54c | 103.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 41c | 65.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed No | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Yes | 58c | 61.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 50.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 43c | 42.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…2ff5backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked No | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…c8aabacked Yes | 58c | 23.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 20.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 58c | 19.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Yes | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.