Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8c88efaf60c574c0983876af2991705cd153783ebc40562d366088c0b763997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 6,574$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.97 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 6,252$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.42 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Yes | 32c | 3,050$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 74c | 2,347$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.86 | 1,163 | 60.5%704 W · 459 L | +67.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 63c | 2,064$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.3 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 677.72$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.05 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.09 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 495.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.36 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 22c | 480.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.69 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 421.22$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.64 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…bef1backed No | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 13c | 264.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 26c | 242.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…c4e8backed Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 52c | 174.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 33c | 105$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Yes | 26c | 104$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 95.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…4fbdbacked Yes | 33c | 84.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…4f97backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 69.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 47c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 77c | 44.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 40.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -7.7wins | -0.23per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…92babacked Yes | 29c | 35.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked No | 74c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 57c | 23.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 898 | 57.9%520 W · 378 L | +56.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked No | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 48c | 21.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…c8aabacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 16.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.