NFL · resolved market
Will TreVeyon Henderson record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc707aef5e814a02760ea1c47db6c4d7610831c35a132d4695077d5572771c06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 7,528$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 10c | 340$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 42c | 332.3$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 5c | 322.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 8c | 306.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 31c | 240.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…1325backed Yes | 11c | 216.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…c7d6backed Yes | 31c | 201.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 28c | 188.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…14e5backed Yes | 12c | 173.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 162.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…59b4backed Yes | 21c | 117.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…4ac4backed No | 72c | 107.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f0fdbacked Yes | 15c | 102.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 33c | 99.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…a917backed Yes | 27c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 65c | 74.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked Yes | 41c | 41.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…bfb2backed Yes | 59c | 30.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TreVeyon Henderson record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?this page
- Will Ashton Jeanty record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?Yes won
- Will Cam Skattebo record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?No won
- Will Kyle Monangai record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?No won
- Will Omarion Hampton record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?No won
- Will Quinshon Judkins record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.