NFL · resolved market
Will Quinshon Judkins record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad75c2712c0d8a705f4947fbc319635b415b885525fcbf2480657f7ed32f064a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,670$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.43 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,820$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 53c | 338.91$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…8541backed Yes | 52c | 115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecf3…25a1backed No | 40c | 96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 66c | 74.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked No | 34c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…bd47backed Yes | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 42c | 44.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a68…4200backed Yes | 60c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…2d55backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb2…3658backed No | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd9…a743backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…a081backed Yes | 60c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6957…0116backed Yes | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…6fdabacked Yes | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 54c | 22.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…5864backed Yes | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Quinshon Judkins record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?this page
- Will Ashton Jeanty record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?Yes won
- Will Cam Skattebo record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?No won
- Will Kyle Monangai record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?No won
- Will Omarion Hampton record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?No won
- Will TreVeyon Henderson record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.