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NFL · resolved market

Will Ashton Jeanty record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c11,079$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.095689.9%56 W · 512 L-1.4wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes49c1,676$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.3910534.3%36 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked No52c1,268$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.5518629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes73c575.69$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.389254.3%50 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b6…59b4backed Yes33c393.94$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.942920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…7814backed No28c317$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes64c302.23$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.198454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8370…4ab6backed No26c240$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes71c234.79$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.428535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1536…c58ebacked No26c231$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes76c216.93$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.121723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-50.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a0…5cc4backed No7c210.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacd8…1325backed Yes62c200$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-59.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No40c180.74$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.569045.6%41 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37f…8b0fbacked No26c148$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes57c134.37$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.626830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8a59…e94cbacked Yes78c128.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.276550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a6…35c2backed No26c126$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf786…6fbebacked Yes72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd309…339bbacked Yes74c116$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6f…5c80backed No28c112$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0c…660ebacked Yes74c111$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d4…9cadbacked Yes72c107$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x722e…de7bbacked No25c106$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ef…7b02backed No26c99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0534…19d8backed No26c99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531540%126 W · 189 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes44c96.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.561216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-68.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked No28c94.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.311421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5458…538abacked Yes72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x627e…22a6backed Yes74c88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb89e…aaeebacked Yes74c78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1834…6faebacked Yes74c78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015d…3f76backed No26c77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3aa…5df4backed Yes72c76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…fb67backed Yes74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30bc…fc74backed Yes74c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e6…db6cbacked Yes74c64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63cb…e5ddbacked No26c61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e3…e459backed No26c59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a2…b58dbacked No26c57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268037.5%30 W · 50 L-10.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3e20…90a5backed Yes74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c58…8b31backed Yes72c48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd758…cd54backed No26c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc111…a013backed Yes74c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc6…e85fbacked Yes74c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22c…515abacked Yes75c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d97…a233backed No28c37.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac3…853ebacked Yes75c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f9…fab7backed Yes74c37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e18…2518backed No29c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a8…1634backed Yes72c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff27…4425backed Yes74c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x748a…45d6backed Yes74c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e4…0da9backed Yes74c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5795…c31abacked Yes74c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…4deabacked Yes75c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1134247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaecb…cd87backed Yes72c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8840…b089backed Yes74c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e9b…5a06backed Yes74c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4d…491fbacked Yes74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef4…a917backed Yes68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a0…34d1backed Yes71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d0…6801backed Yes74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8939…7692backed Yes74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5a…f812backed Yes74c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed No62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.332272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x404c…221bbacked Yes74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc36…4642backed Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.921275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f50…1fb6backed No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc094…feb0backed Yes74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2260…7880backed Yes74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…ffdcbacked Yes74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53dd…f60fbacked Yes74c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe2…3039backed Yes74c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…c774backed Yes74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.843100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe82a…a50ebacked Yes72c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd1…3f81backed Yes74c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03bb…b980backed Yes74c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a8…3c9cbacked Yes74c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7a…8989backed Yes74c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.