Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Talia Gibson vs Anna Blinkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x473f3cdd0754cc7441242d8414ec6258e136993b9ade31c406ec0dc0e83a7d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gibsonof Gibson, Blinkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Gibson | 53c | 6,705$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.77 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Gibson | 52c | 6,564$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.89 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Blinkova | 48c | 5,731$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.61 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Blinkova | 47c | 5,226$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.22 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Blinkova | 0c | 4,141$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Gibson | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Blinkova | 48c | 3,798$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.04 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Blinkova | 47c | 3,404$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gibson | 55c | 1,915$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.61 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Blinkova | 28c | 1,596$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gibson | 53c | 1,336$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.92 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Blinkova | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.81 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Blinkova | 45c | 1,292$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.28 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Gibson | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blinkova | 23c | 1,076$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Blinkova | 3c | 923.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gibson | 76c | 888.88$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.66 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Blinkova | 49c | 820$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Blinkova | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Blinkova | 48c | 611.25$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gibson | 72c | 483.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Blinkova | 15c | 468.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Gibson | 52c | 430$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Blinkova | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Gibson | 52c | 415.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.38 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Gibson | 52c | 206.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Blinkova | 48c | 202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Gibson | 54c | 201.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Blinkova | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Gibson | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Blinkova | 17c | 170.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Gibson | 63c | 155.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blinkova | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Blinkova | 14c | 114.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Blinkova | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Gibson | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Blinkova | 39c | 80.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Gibson | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blinkova | 49c | 53.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Gibson | 62c | 52.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Blinkova | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Blinkova | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blinkova | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…cd9ebacked Gibson | 52c | 47.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Gibson | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Blinkova | 48c | 43.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Gibson | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Blinkova | 47c | 40.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Gibson | 54c | 36.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Gibson | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Gibson | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Gibson | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…8a34backed Blinkova | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…ebeabacked Gibson | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Gibson | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Gibson | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Gibson | 71c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Gibson | 69c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Talia Gibson vs Anna Blinkovathis page
- Gibson vs. Blinkova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Gibson vs. Blinkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Gibson vs BlinkovaGibson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.