Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Jaime Faria vs Marco Trungelliti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b65a537faaae939536af2948134581b4c49d58ff9d0eaf5a37fed0f4a907bd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fariaof Faria, Trungelliti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Faria | 77c | 3,904$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.97 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Trungelliti | 0c | 3,691$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…3506backed Trungelliti | 46c | 3,099$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Trungelliti | 42c | 1,442$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Faria | 50c | 1,002$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Faria | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Faria | 64c | 713.28$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trungelliti | 15c | 617.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Trungelliti | 36c | 518.28$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Faria | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Trungelliti | 14c | 271.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Trungelliti | 41c | 245$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Faria | 58c | 111.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Faria | 58c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Faria | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Trungelliti | 28c | 92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Faria | 69c | 89.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Trungelliti | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Trungelliti | 40c | 62.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Trungelliti | 41c | 56.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trungelliti | 42c | 43.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Faria | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Trungelliti | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Trungelliti | 38c | 27.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Faria | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Trungelliti | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Faria | 62c | 21.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Faria | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Faria | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.