NHL · resolved market
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d50fc360b02a03ba29c45a612341d46554f5a7e0d59745b84b0b28b31e2574a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rangers | 69c | 2,159$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.94 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Senators | 31c | 2,123$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.1 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…8d2cbacked Senators | 31c | 940$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Senators | 31c | 380.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc66…98f4backed Rangers | 69c | 370$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…8a5cbacked Rangers | 69c | 340$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Senators | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8326…5601backed Rangers | 69c | 230$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Senators | 32c | 213$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 32c | 192.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Rangers | 69c | 181.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rangers | 69c | 160.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Rangers | 71c | 148$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Senators | 30c | 124.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rangers | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 68c | 95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Rangers | 69c | 88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Senators | 14c | 87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 68c | 71.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked Rangers | 70c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Rangers | 70c | 64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rangers | 70c | 46.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rangers | 42c | 42.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5333…04c9backed Rangers | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers | 68c | 32.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Senators | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Rangers | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Rangers | 70c | 14.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)this page
- Senators vs. RangersSenators won
- Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.