Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb342f63e0a2a72347b9c6a783d59f563515aed41f2e2109ac58a670d490136e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 69,619$23,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,663.44 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 66c | 64,702$42,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,006.67 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 65c | 43,554$28,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,184.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 31,448$14,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,942.63 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 39c | 23,948$9,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,518.2 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 10,052$5,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.05 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 71c | 5,980$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.35 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 3,165$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.58 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 2,164$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.43 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,999$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 14c | 1,557$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 30c | 1,515$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.22 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 45c | 1,313$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.62 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 1,133$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.92 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 57c | 942.01$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 17c | 815.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed No | 42c | 755$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 44c | 745.24$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.63 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 67c | 740.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 44c | 684.8$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.81 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 44c | 656$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Yes | 31c | 564.17$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 34c | 508.93$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 42c | 431$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 46c | 422.38$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.36 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 40c | 333.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 50c | 326.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 75c | 319.7$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 38c | 318.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 66c | 304.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.37 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 46c | 293.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed No | 71c | 282.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 271$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 271$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 58c | 190.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 41c | 161$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 40c | 151.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 42c | 150.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 27c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 39c | 97.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 30c | 96.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 91.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed No | 47c | 90.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 61c | 89.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 46c | 82.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 54c | 82.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…8949backed No | 47c | 82.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 42c | 77.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 69c | 76.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9299…8f9cbacked Yes | 27c | 75.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 55c | 69.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 77c | 65.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 64.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 42c | 60.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 33c | 52.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 47c | 50.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 40c | 50.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 45c | 47.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed No | 77c | 43.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 70c | 42.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 47c | 39.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 41c | 38.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…f2f8backed No | 40c | 37.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No | 69c | 35.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…f2dabacked Yes | 36c | 35.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 41c | 33.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…f266backed No | 45c | 31.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…d1a9backed No | 77c | 28.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed No | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked No | 72c | 26.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed No | 48c | 22.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed No | 62c | 22.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 71c | 21.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…c397backed No | 70c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.