Lol · resolved market
LoL: Francesinhas vs ZeroZone Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf191aaa638e4a7e7e6c959e5cedcfba93636f4e4a7783abc4c07d486081f119a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesinhasof Francesinhas, ZeroZone Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x184c…984fbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 50c | 992.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Francesinhas | 66c | 735.27$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.34 | 849 | 42.5%361 W · 488 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed ZeroZone Gaming | 47c | 569.71$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.28 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 47c | 419.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 991 | 47.1%467 W · 524 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed ZeroZone Gaming | 49c | 404.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 52.7%192 W · 172 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesinhas | 62c | 376.37$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…e278backed Francesinhas | 57c | 371.9$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Francesinhas | 56c | 318.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.28 | 433 | 46.7%202 W · 231 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Francesinhas | 61c | 314.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 45c | 282.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Francesinhas | 57c | 224.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Francesinhas | 58c | 220.18$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed ZeroZone Gaming | 21c | 189.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 523 | 45.9%240 W · 283 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ZeroZone Gaming | 46c | 170.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Francesinhas | 74c | 168.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 1,301 | 47.2%614 W · 687 L | -32.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Francesinhas | 48c | 161$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed Francesinhas | 53c | 160.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Francesinhas | 57c | 155.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +31.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b21…1f5cbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…cf07backed Francesinhas | 48c | 125.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…2166backed Francesinhas | 51c | 99.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ZeroZone Gaming | 17c | 97.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed ZeroZone Gaming | 17c | 96.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ZeroZone Gaming | 21c | 77.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Francesinhas | 42c | 70.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed ZeroZone Gaming | 20c | 68.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 406 | 69.7%283 W · 123 L | +34.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Francesinhas | 53c | 65.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 266 | 30.8%82 W · 184 L | -26.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ZeroZone Gaming | 29c | 60.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed ZeroZone Gaming | 23c | 57.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 628 | 26%163 W · 465 L | -89.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Francesinhas | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 567 | 43.7%248 W · 319 L | -44.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Francesinhas | 41c | 45.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Francesinhas | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Francesinhas | 49c | 36.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Francesinhas | 60c | 33.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 839 | 41%344 W · 495 L | -37.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Francesinhas | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked ZeroZone Gaming | 49c | 26.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,042 | 39.6%413 W · 629 L | -73.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…83edbacked Francesinhas | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…7427backed Francesinhas | 74c | 24.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Francesinhas | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040c…1b97backed Francesinhas | 78c | 19.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Francesinhas | 57c | 18.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,207 | 40%483 W · 724 L | -63.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Francesinhas vs ZeroZone Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Francesinhas vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO3) - LPLOL Group StageFrancesinhas won
- LoL: Francesinhas vs ZeroZone Gaming - Game 2 WinnerFrancesinhas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.