Lol · resolved market
LoL: Francesinhas vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc245500f8d9f578f56e59dcdb9dc40c6f07979093cdea08b6cb574c3d1f47035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesinhasof Francesinhas, ZeroZone Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x184c…984fbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 29c | 1,142$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed Francesinhas | 66c | 924$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Francesinhas | 75c | 893$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.37 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Francesinhas | 57c | 588$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.76 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 42c | 434.84$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.74 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed ZeroZone Gaming | 13c | 320$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Francesinhas | 68c | 272.68$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ZeroZone Gaming | 23c | 242.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 38c | 228.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…2dc8backed ZeroZone Gaming | 6c | 204$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Francesinhas | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ZeroZone Gaming | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 33c | 197.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed ZeroZone Gaming | 11c | 188.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 414 | 69.3%287 W · 127 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Francesinhas | 67c | 179.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked ZeroZone Gaming | 8c | 174.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ZeroZone Gaming | 37c | 165.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…1963backed Francesinhas | 61c | 156$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c248backed ZeroZone Gaming | 36c | 149.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 167 | 35.9%60 W · 107 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…83edbacked Francesinhas | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Francesinhas | 68c | 133$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 219 | 40.6%89 W · 130 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked Francesinhas | 68c | 133$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Francesinhas | 68c | 133$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Francesinhas | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 257 | 40.1%103 W · 154 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked ZeroZone Gaming | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked ZeroZone Gaming | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Francesinhas | 69c | 88.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed Francesinhas | 77c | 85.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked ZeroZone Gaming | 34c | 55.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ZeroZone Gaming | 33c | 51.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ZeroZone Gaming | 38c | 42.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed Francesinhas | 77c | 38.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Francesinhas | 68c | 30.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Francesinhas | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec21…33dcbacked Francesinhas | 68c | 26.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c3…9ac3backed Francesinhas | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Francesinhas | 71c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Francesinhas | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Francesinhas | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564a…8871backed Francesinhas | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Francesinhas vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stagethis page
- LoL: Francesinhas vs ZeroZone Gaming - Game 1 WinnerFrancesinhas won
- LoL: Francesinhas vs ZeroZone Gaming - Game 2 WinnerFrancesinhas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.