CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc03500e2e5358937a7a50b02d2e72b79587b0c677949756a52dd855147ff9b8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof Color, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SPARTA | 53c | 2,372$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.84 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed SPARTA | 51c | 456.27$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed SPARTA | 21c | 450$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.5 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed SPARTA | 47c | 385.86$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.4 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 48c | 372.25$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 51c | 346.22$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Color | 47c | 299$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Color | 48c | 293.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 40c | 241.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Color | 46c | 215.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Color | 63c | 158.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Color | 48c | 126.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Color | 59c | 106.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Color | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Color | 53c | 101.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Color | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Color | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Color | 64c | 82.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Color | 36c | 80.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SPARTA | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SPARTA | 29c | 78.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Color | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Color | 51c | 67.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Color | 48c | 67.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Color | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Color | 52c | 54.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Color | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Color | 67c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Color | 42c | 48.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Color | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Color | 52c | 46.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Color | 49c | 45.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed SPARTA | 36c | 42.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed SPARTA | 78c | 38.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed Color | 39c | 38.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed SPARTA | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SPARTA | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Color | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed SPARTA | 51c | 32.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Color | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 49c | 29.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Color | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked SPARTA | 45c | 28.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed SPARTA | 54c | 27.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Color | 53c | 26.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Color | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Color | 66c | 16.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: Color vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.