MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81e7c243359ab9c318acf0dc5d3bee640ba67336db39aec68f727c85aeb6fc3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $434,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $444,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 87,573$36,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,555.28 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 82,540$53,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,707.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 30,666$12,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,262.85 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 25,035$13,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,716.15 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 21,447$12,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,748.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 21,019$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,231.53 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 20,823$12,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,763.39 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 18,450$10,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,885.5 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 17,141$7,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,183.62 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 16,000$7,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,119.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 9,999$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 8,548$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 7,033$3,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.85 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 6,452$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 6,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 5,542$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.42 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.96 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 3,986$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.44 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 3,887$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,095$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.24 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,948$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.74 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 2,760$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 2,489$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.21 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,130$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.98 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 2,034$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.66 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,997$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 1,898$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.21 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,615$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,606$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.78 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,565$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.65 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,565$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.65 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,378$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.14 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,344$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.46 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,319$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,231$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 3c | 1,225$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,150$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.5 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 1,146$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.09 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,024$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.64 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,005$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 1,002$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.19 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…91c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 1,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 984.8$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 979.31$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.04 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 961.54$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.54 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 919.43$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.54 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 878.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 853.27$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 844.15$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.93 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 840.56$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.93 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 742.14$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…55d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 740.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 670.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 667$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.35 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 665.94$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 639$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.01 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 634.95$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.67 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…0383backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 626$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 619.63$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.01 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…3ef3backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 611.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 576.92$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.92 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 557.4$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.01 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 520$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.8 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 519.84$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.84 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 518.99$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.58 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 517.47$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.83 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 503.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.24 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 487.5$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 479.13$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.43 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 470$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 457$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 454$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.94 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 451.28$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.28 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 3c | 398.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 371.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 362.9$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…90f5backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 324$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 308$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 300$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 299.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 297$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 283$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 281.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c9…0581backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 271.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 269.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.23 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 262$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 259.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.9 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 259$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.1 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 250$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…c996backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 249.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 243$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 216.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 19.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-6.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.