Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12288a4da850feb26439b1549abd19ad5433d4b1afb2ada3542e1f05c2aebb2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Over | 63c | 1,584$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…ec61backed Under | 42c | 988.08$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.09 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 951.88$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.84 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 59c | 898.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…e395backed Over | 62c | 865.12$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.51 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…0ec9backed Under | 34c | 596.07$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.07 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 586.81$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.69 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 39c | 517.13$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.71 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 42c | 400$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.51 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under | 40c | 380$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Over | 59c | 349.9$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 37c | 298.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.07 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 37c | 265.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 39c | 245.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Over | 59c | 192.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…083abacked Over | 59c | 150.85$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…cf59backed Over | 60c | 129.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 121$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Over | 60c | 89.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 40c | 86.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 63c | 84.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 39c | 83.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…93d0backed Under | 38c | 70.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 62c | 54.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Under | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 33.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Under | 39c | 29.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Over | 59c | 20.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 64c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…cad8backed Over | 68c | 17.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Take First CornerArgentina won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.