TailMyPicks

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Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Take First Corner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Argentinaof Argentina, Switzerland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d61…ffe8backed Switzerland2c1,158$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-75.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina64c734.25$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c4…d813backed Argentina66c557.58$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.58977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f1…55e5backed Switzerland34c499.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.994837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Switzerland33c499.97$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.991,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e7…99e5backed Argentina62c448.25$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x484a…316abacked Switzerland39c335.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.436636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Switzerland35c188.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.783,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Argentina66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.528661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Switzerland39c120$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.82,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Switzerland34c115.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4115859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead5…427abacked Argentina66c103.54$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.543342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Switzerland34c92.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5443460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Switzerland35c89.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4923741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Switzerland37c78.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.791,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8140…1fb0backed Argentina66c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-68.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe56…093dbacked Argentina64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55056%28 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Switzerland33c61.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Switzerland33c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.645254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1901…31cebacked Argentina73c47.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9512763%80 W · 47 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a7…127bbacked Argentina40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244119.5%8 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Switzerland31c33.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.541,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Switzerland36c31.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.322969%20 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Argentina65c30.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.918254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f3…3ffebacked Argentina78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.646443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa882…e517backed Argentina62c24.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1116442.1%69 W · 95 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Argentina65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0823062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3172…7520backed Argentina65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.