TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,813
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,813 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c516.57$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.281,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes55c448.53$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes30c379.26$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.431,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No70c374.49$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.352,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c144.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.233,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked No24c98.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes59c96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6478344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ff…0d37backed Yes68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No45c71.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2177855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No45c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9550154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes72c45.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c36.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.112,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes57c30.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.262,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cd…2c85backed No62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69df…fe16backed Yes55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.