TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,198
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,198 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over40c1,500$600 inLost-$6009538.9%37 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under54c999.99$540 inWon+$459.9912770.9%90 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over17c678.04$114 inLost-$113.972,17537.6%817 W · 1,358 L+4.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c502.76$231 inLost-$231.272,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under66c376.66$250 inWon+$126.672,47833.9%840 W · 1,638 L-95.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c248.95$185 inWon+$63.913,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over8c206.67$17 inLost-$17.237146.4%172 W · 199 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under79c126.71$100 inWon+$26.712445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x854a…5e9ebacked Under58c119.05$69 inWon+$50580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost-$501952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over42c115.5$49 inLost-$48.515444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf47…12e6backed Over26c63.62$17 inLost-$16.541241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over50c39.88$20 inLost-$19.8926747.2%126 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over35c34.29$12 inLost-$11.845052%26 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Over32c31.25$10 inLost-$103132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under66c28.8$19 inWon+$9.763957.1%365 W · 274 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under73c14.49$11 inWon+$3.9129470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.