Europa Conference League · resolved market
ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cf70d619e5ffc96c7ef8d3daaf5b183bc88051180f6feb7913569820d14d3fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 63c | 379.65$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 77c | 299$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Yes | 23c | 299$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 67c | 156.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 35c | 127$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 32c | 125.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 57c | 112.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Yes | 64c | 112.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +5.0wins | +0.30per pick | 65cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 51c | 72.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 36c | 57.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 51c | 25.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)ÍF Vestri won
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-2.5)ÍF Vestri won
- ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 2.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 3.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 4.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 5.5Under won
- ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: Team to AdvanceFK Rīgas Futbola Skola won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.