Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb8bee5859b6e6d3b3450fa268011812cf8b356eafa83f7d9e6d718e12a0f975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 48c | 2,228$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 1,817$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.07 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…8332backed Yes | 52c | 1,779$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 55c | 1,096$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.1 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 1,062$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.22 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 49c | 986.13$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.37 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 60c | 625.19$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.19 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed No | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 355.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.41 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 51c | 347.74$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 343.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.93 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 48c | 271.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 229.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 227.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed No | 45c | 215.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…4623backed Yes | 49c | 214.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 66c | 208.53$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 66c | 207.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 48c | 197.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 51c | 196.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes | 48c | 194.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 69c | 173.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 49c | 152.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 129$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…4fe5backed Yes | 49c | 128.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed No | 45c | 128.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 52c | 121.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 115.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed No | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62aa…94febacked Yes | 71c | 103.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf752…101cbacked Yes | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Yes | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 46c | 93.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 92.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 27c | 91.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 79.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Yes | 49c | 79.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 57c | 73.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…622cbacked Yes | 49c | 71.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 73c | 67.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 52c | 66.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 51c | 62.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…a31dbacked Yes | 48c | 59.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…80b8backed Yes | 50c | 58.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 51c | 56.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 51c | 47.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…8dc8backed Yes | 53c | 43.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed No | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 72c | 41.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56f…d8e9backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed No | 50c | 38.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 43c | 38.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…279abacked Yes | 50c | 38.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 51c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 53c | 36.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…23d0backed Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 52c | 34.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 70c | 34.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 51c | 33.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…5090backed No | 51c | 30.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 45c | 29.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 49c | 28.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked No | 54c | 27.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 70c | 23.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 72c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 68c | 18.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac0…2ce7backed Yes | 73c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed2…17abbacked Yes | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Henan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.