Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeea5dd6c4f348332fa6f4bc3f70d1a12b53ed24880f81d0320ca52a55c7c61b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,187$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 5c | 570.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 24c | 496.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 445.82$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 15c | 299.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 208.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8d00backed Yes | 23c | 172.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 77c | 157.54$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 13c | 146.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 102.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 93.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 80c | 86.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 13c | 82.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 72.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 53.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 47.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked No | 74c | 45.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 24c | 43.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 78c | 25.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 25.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 77c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed No | 75c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Henan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.