Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4551716aa822a7f8c943f9b699ef02b78d972af5cf9d58d942646200bcc35b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 37c | 12,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.95 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 3,993$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.12 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 3,892$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.53 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 1,481$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.14 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 11c | 765$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 905 | 44.9%406 W · 499 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 15c | 727.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.09 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 19c | 696.77$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.28 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 20c | 662.77$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.84 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 642.91$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 64c | 468.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 25c | 397.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed No | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 57c | 296.81$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…4912backed No | 75c | 294.07$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…d511backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 261.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 49c | 213.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 201 | 65.7%132 W · 69 L | +28.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…b965backed Yes | 26c | 205.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 12c | 204$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 58c | 166$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 140.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 115$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…a31dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 26c | 95.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 41c | 90.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 67c | 87.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 40c | 81.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 72.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 70.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 65.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 72c | 61.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 74c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…59b6backed No | 75c | 58.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 74c | 56.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 24c | 55.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 307 | 31.9%98 W · 209 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 29c | 53.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 76c | 52.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 61c | 50.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 75c | 47.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 64c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f35…2e09backed No | 76c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…b324backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…0a63backed Yes | 60c | 23.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 71c | 22.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 75c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf308…2be5backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.