TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brescia: Kathinka von Deichmann vs Anastasiia Sobolieva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Anastasiia Sobolievaof Kathinka von Deichmann, Anastasiia Sobolieva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4e8…6300backed Anastasiia Sobolieva61c3,040$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.6110954.1%59 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Kathinka von Deichmann45c2,877$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3007550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Anastasiia Sobolieva38c2,694$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.798,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Kathinka von Deichmann62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5502,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kathinka von Deichmann15c1,476$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.864,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079a…e2abbacked Kathinka von Deichmann40c1,397$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Kathinka von Deichmann42c1,009$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.861,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Kathinka von Deichmann42c947.26$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.152,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kathinka von Deichmann69c762.97$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.451,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Kathinka von Deichmann40c747.63$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.581,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Anastasiia Sobolieva75c537.02$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.438,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…a2d1backed Anastasiia Sobolieva59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2058957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kathinka von Deichmann41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Anastasiia Sobolieva57c499.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed Anastasiia Sobolieva57c479.16$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.042339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Kathinka von Deichmann26c344.64$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0233048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Kathinka von Deichmann39c333.72$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.315,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva31c328.09$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.387,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f0…b753backed Kathinka von Deichmann67c301.98$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3314369.2%99 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Anastasiia Sobolieva67c299.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2823159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef77…c481backed Anastasiia Sobolieva66c260$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.41758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Anastasiia Sobolieva56c241.48$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Kathinka von Deichmann43c199.1$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.871,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Kathinka von Deichmann41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva59c185.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.983666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+630.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6758045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Kathinka von Deichmann34c164.47$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.291,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Kathinka von Deichmann47c161.57$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1244758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Anastasiia Sobolieva62c158.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.311,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Kathinka von Deichmann63c157.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Anastasiia Sobolieva61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.53,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Kathinka von Deichmann48c131.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.971,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Kathinka von Deichmann44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.836557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Anastasiia Sobolieva46c106.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4492145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva59c101.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.536,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Anastasiia Sobolieva52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1519761.4%121 W · 76 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kathinka von Deichmann42c94.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.324,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Anastasiia Sobolieva32c90.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.391,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Kathinka von Deichmann42c85.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…96e9backed Kathinka von Deichmann34c84.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.182254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Kathinka von Deichmann42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Kathinka von Deichmann45c77.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva32c76.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5211133.3%37 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Kathinka von Deichmann41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Kathinka von Deichmann68c71.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5745343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Kathinka von Deichmann42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Kathinka von Deichmann42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3079646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kathinka von Deichmann34c66.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.231,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Kathinka von Deichmann52c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.81,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Anastasiia Sobolieva59c59.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.737,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasiia Sobolieva58c55.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.358,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x103f…86dbbacked Kathinka von Deichmann62c51.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.816362%101 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Anastasiia Sobolieva80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva53c48.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1838860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva56c46.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.541,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Anastasiia Sobolieva57c41.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.033,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Kathinka von Deichmann32c37.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8542359.1%250 W · 173 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Kathinka von Deichmann36c34.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.562,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Kathinka von Deichmann40c32.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0323427.4%64 W · 170 L-40.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x89e8…c85fbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva63c31.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.766448.4%31 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a6…08bfbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva57c31.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.695633.9%19 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Kathinka von Deichmann40c31.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva36c31.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.062,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Kathinka von Deichmann48c30.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7984640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva57c30.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.128252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Kathinka von Deichmann43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Anastasiia Sobolieva39c29.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0495050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Anastasiia Sobolieva75c29.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.254,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2554…bb52backed Anastasiia Sobolieva64c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.829754.6%53 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Anastasiia Sobolieva44c26.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0385742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2567848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a9…3a77backed Kathinka von Deichmann43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3211551.3%59 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Anastasiia Sobolieva56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kathinka von Deichmann61c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Anastasiia Sobolieva57c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.345053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc15c…a6b0backed Anastasiia Sobolieva58c18.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7828758.5%168 W · 119 L-1.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kathinka von Deichmann63c18.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.416,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Anastasiia Sobolieva58c17.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3658665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.