NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54fcbba15299fd3b6ea72cf2c39ed7033a98143102a85277def9dfa09122fbcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Spurs, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 51c | 62,295$31,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,525.29 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Spurs | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Spurs | 48c | 38,190$18,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,331.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Spurs | 49c | 33,677$16,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,401.73 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…e40fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 33,449$17,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,055.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…fa41backed Pelicans | 52c | 21,508$11,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,323.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0c…2524backed Pelicans | 52c | 15,675$8,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,524 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0c…af73backed Spurs | 48c | 14,492$6,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…a201backed Spurs | 48c | 12,587$6,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,041.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pelicans | 52c | 10,292$5,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…afacbacked Pelicans | 52c | 9,915$5,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…92b3backed Spurs | 48c | 8,908$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…e8f3backed Spurs | 48c | 7,946$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…7a1fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 7,838$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc43…938ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 6,814$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…d3dcbacked Spurs | 48c | 6,337$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…18c6backed Pelicans | 52c | 6,196$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…78b1backed Pelicans | 52c | 5,843$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…d6c1backed Spurs | 48c | 5,804$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf297…ffa1backed Pelicans | 52c | 5,588$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…bb29backed Spurs | 48c | 5,493$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…44b9backed Spurs | 48c | 5,405$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…2f28backed Pelicans | 52c | 5,017$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54f4…a5cfbacked Spurs | 48c | 4,976$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…9868backed Spurs | 48c | 4,806$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…a61ebacked Spurs | 48c | 4,301$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424f…99d6backed Pelicans | 52c | 3,296$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…61f6backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,991$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…ecacbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,873$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…4e5abacked Pelicans | 52c | 2,813$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…48a9backed Spurs | 48c | 2,795$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x868a…add6backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,637$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…3ff1backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,570$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5b…5323backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,569$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…20c7backed Spurs | 48c | 2,569$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…c988backed Spurs | 48c | 2,372$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Spurs | 49c | 2,088$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.12 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 1,841$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…5939backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,661$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…6469backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,489$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…db8abacked Spurs | 48c | 1,463$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae67…15a6backed Spurs | 48c | 1,442$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…88e3backed Spurs | 48c | 1,274$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,259$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.21 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…543dbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,131$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Spurs | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…6f0cbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Spurs | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…29debacked Spurs | 48c | 944$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…1b72backed Spurs | 48c | 889$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe81…6c33backed Spurs | 48c | 885$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8162…426abacked Spurs | 48c | 810$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 785$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.65 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…92adbacked Spurs | 48c | 772$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f60…e360backed Spurs | 48c | 624$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…1550backed Pelicans | 52c | 620$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503b…4f98backed Spurs | 48c | 565$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…82c9backed Pelicans | 52c | 527$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…7765backed Pelicans | 52c | 519$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…0874backed Pelicans | 52c | 510$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Pelicans | 51c | 467.06$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.95 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…38b9backed Spurs | 50c | 435.04$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…08d1backed Pelicans | 52c | 423$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…e8a7backed Pelicans | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb49a…066cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 373$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…530dbacked Spurs | 48c | 342$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Pelicans | 47c | 318.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.03 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6737…9053backed Pelicans | 51c | 318$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Pelicans | 51c | 314$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…6e3ebacked Spurs | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked Spurs | 49c | 285.34$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Spurs | 50c | 256$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…62edbacked Spurs | 48c | 231$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pelicans | 54c | 218$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…55f1backed Spurs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…1ba7backed Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Spurs | 49c | 202.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37c…ba27backed Spurs | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Spurs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Spurs | 55c | 182.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…ae2cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 154$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Spurs | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Pelicans | 53c | 80.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Spurs | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Spurs | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Spurs | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Pelicans | 52c | 50.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Spurs | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Spurs | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 304 | 44.7%136 W · 168 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Spurs | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…2df3backed Spurs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…efdbbacked Spurs | 50c | 28.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…3bbfbacked Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)this page
- Spurs vs. PelicansSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.