Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b6dd94d70e5832f91c2ded20e902f035868313bb324f62db20b469b406ad2f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb404…f61bbacked Under | 14c | 7,615$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,557.81 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 26c | 3,935$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.19 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Over | 74c | 1,185$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.9 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 74c | 998.95$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.22 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 74c | 434$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.16 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Over | 74c | 433$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.42 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…c16cbacked Over | 74c | 396.11$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Over | 71c | 245$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa77b…29a8backed Over | 74c | 220.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…985ebacked Over | 77c | 200$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Under | 36c | 165.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0de1…916dbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 70c | 118.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 79c | 95.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 65c | 85.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 29c | 77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 74c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Under | 48c | 51.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Over | 74c | 37.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 69c | 36.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Over | 61c | 34.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…30afbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…5d00backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 3?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)DRX won
- Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs DRX (+2.5)DRX won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-InDRX won
- LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 3 WinnerDRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.