Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72639da1d15998a44020c632458d72a3e717f1305669b9d2b4f5af3b0c06a805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DRXof Nongshim Red Force, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed DRX | 49c | 7,813$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.77 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 4,994$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.88 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked DRX | 51c | 4,011$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.44 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…f61bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 3,593$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.57 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 1,924$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.52 | 829 | 54.5%452 W · 377 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 1,776$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.47 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed DRX | 52c | 782.05$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.43 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed DRX | 52c | 589$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed DRX | 52c | 330$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 194.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 822 | 60.9%501 W · 321 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed DRX | 52c | 166$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked DRX | 47c | 153.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed Nongshim Red Force | 48c | 103.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 385 | 34.8%134 W · 251 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Nongshim Red Force | 53c | 103.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 181 | 61.3%111 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked Nongshim Red Force | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed DRX | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…91e8backed Nongshim Red Force | 48c | 60.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed DRX | 52c | 55.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 53c | 50.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DRX | 52c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…360bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 48c | 39.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Nongshim Red Force | 50c | 30.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 42c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked DRX | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 3?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs DRX (+2.5)DRX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-InDRX won
- LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 3 WinnerDRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.