Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbea998cc5149eace5b6f20db0af7c91cd975d943c8648bf24dd377d477b58ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roman Safiullinof Joel Schwaerzler, Roman Safiullin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joel Schwaerzler | 15c | 14,359$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.52 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.98 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Joel Schwaerzler | 39c | 1,291$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Roman Safiullin | 65c | 1,283$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.54 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Roman Safiullin | 64c | 1,246$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.03 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Joel Schwaerzler | 35c | 999.94$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Joel Schwaerzler | 16c | 929$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.64 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Roman Safiullin | 65c | 554.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Roman Safiullin | 73c | 456.94$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Roman Safiullin | 70c | 436.3$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Joel Schwaerzler | 27c | 412.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Joel Schwaerzler | 6c | 321.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 17c | 294.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Roman Safiullin | 77c | 288.35$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 4c | 252.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 4c | 225$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Roman Safiullin | 60c | 210.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 8c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Joel Schwaerzler | 14c | 199.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Roman Safiullin | 63c | 141.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Joel Schwaerzler | 25c | 132.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Joel Schwaerzler | 32c | 123.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Joel Schwaerzler | 37c | 110.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Roman Safiullin | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Joel Schwaerzler | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Roman Safiullin | 80c | 95.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Roman Safiullin | 74c | 94.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Roman Safiullin | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Roman Safiullin | 63c | 84.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Roman Safiullin | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Roman Safiullin | 66c | 76.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Roman Safiullin | 58c | 74.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Joel Schwaerzler | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Roman Safiullin | 65c | 66.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Joel Schwaerzler | 18c | 65.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Roman Safiullin | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Roman Safiullin | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Joel Schwaerzler | 32c | 53.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Roman Safiullin | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Roman Safiullin | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Roman Safiullin | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Roman Safiullin | 65c | 28.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Roman Safiullin | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Roman Safiullin | 63c | 24.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Roman Safiullin | 61c | 21.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Roman Safiullin | 69c | 15.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullinthis page
- Set Handicap: Safiullin (-1.5) vs Schwaerzler (+1.5)Safiullin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.