Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sinja Kraus vs Anna-Lena Friedsam
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f1c45506a4239d483f5e4a9e9524b4913f071a65c699d3e78dadd44d0d6b056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinja Krausof Sinja Kraus, Anna-Lena Friedsam
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 11c | 11,385$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.71 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 3c | 5,375$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.09 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 1c | 1,047$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 23c | 987.42$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.67 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…8475backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 945.81$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 17c | 688.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 24c | 649.75$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 3c | 603.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 26c | 544.88$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 11c | 472.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 424.26$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 21c | 286.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 22c | 270.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 253.16$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 22c | 248.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 22c | 244.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 238.04$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 23c | 237$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 25c | 216.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Sinja Kraus | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 196.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Sinja Kraus | 76c | 196.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 23c | 194.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 16c | 188.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 179.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 155.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Sinja Kraus | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Sinja Kraus | 73c | 112.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 107$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 15c | 106.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Sinja Kraus | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Sinja Kraus | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 143 | 69.9%100 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 27c | 89.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 21c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked Sinja Kraus | 78c | 74.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…7f0fbacked Sinja Kraus | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 21c | 61.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Sinja Kraus | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 20c | 54.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…5b74backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 23c | 46.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…a465backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…2c73backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…5255backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570d…c0debacked Sinja Kraus | 79c | 25.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…1f61backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 24.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sinja Kraus | 76c | 22.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sinja Kraus | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.