Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs Anton Matusevich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29fe2484b0846ed4aafa5faec9edf38ddc0f2ddacfd80de345e3040b09bc6aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hynek Bartonof Hynek Barton, Anton Matusevich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anton Matusevich | 11c | 5,184$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.54 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Hynek Barton | 75c | 1,066$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.06 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Anton Matusevich | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Hynek Barton | 75c | 758.38$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.85 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Anton Matusevich | 6c | 674$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Anton Matusevich | 25c | 652.58$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Anton Matusevich | 5c | 623$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Anton Matusevich | 4c | 508.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Anton Matusevich | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Anton Matusevich | 26c | 470.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Anton Matusevich | 21c | 363.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anton Matusevich | 28c | 280.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Anton Matusevich | 4c | 239.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Anton Matusevich | 12c | 227.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anton Matusevich | 11c | 186.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Anton Matusevich | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Anton Matusevich | 9c | 168.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Hynek Barton | 73c | 136.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Hynek Barton | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Hynek Barton | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Anton Matusevich | 9c | 126.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Anton Matusevich | 24c | 107.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Hynek Barton | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Anton Matusevich | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked Anton Matusevich | 27c | 76.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Hynek Barton | 73c | 67.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Hynek Barton | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Anton Matusevich | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Anton Matusevich | 25c | 42.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Anton Matusevich | 25c | 41.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Anton Matusevich | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Hynek Barton | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Hynek Barton | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Hynek Barton | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked Hynek Barton | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…4a71backed Hynek Barton | 75c | 33.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Hynek Barton | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Hynek Barton | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Hynek Barton | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Hynek Barton | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Hynek Barton | 72c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs Anton Matusevichthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Barton vs MatusevichBarton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.