Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3408f6757c20420af0fd676e9a98eb7324c187c65e1f7570a3d45ad61f0ee62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5714…ae10backed Yes | 73c | 1,376$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…73f1backed No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3f…cd87backed No | 3c | 972.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…f0bcbacked No | 2c | 645.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed No | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 22c | 401.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 21c | 322$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 21c | 296.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 12c | 292$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 45c | 285.83$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 34c | 278.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked Yes | 5c | 270.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.24 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 15c | 236.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 28c | 222.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 50c | 205$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 196$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 14c | 188.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 54c | 176.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 159.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 155.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 34c | 133.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked Yes | 63c | 130.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 128$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8814…4a9ebacked No | 13c | 122.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f16…063dbacked No | 63c | 113.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 54c | 104.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…e8bfbacked No | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 46c | 98.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 44c | 94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 54c | 92.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 28c | 88.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 27c | 75.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 55c | 67.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 54c | 65.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 55c | 63.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 54c | 63.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…b0fabacked No | 70c | 62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…4f55backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 54.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 53c | 52.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed Yes | 44c | 50.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…4379backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed No | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 63c | 45.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed Yes | 77c | 44.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 48c | 44.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 56c | 43.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…7ad4backed Yes | 51c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…55a5backed Yes | 30c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 34c | 41.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 43c | 40.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…9975backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa82…ea2dbacked Yes | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…cb90backed Yes | 43c | 34.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 71c | 34.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 68c | 32.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadf…9abebacked Yes | 56c | 31.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1e07backed Yes | 38c | 29.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 45c | 29.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 53c | 29.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 43c | 29.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 55c | 29.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…da6ebacked Yes | 53c | 28.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 67c | 28.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 58c | 26.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…d96abacked Yes | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 58c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 44c | 25.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…13b5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed Yes | 51c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0296…ad01backed Yes | 51c | 23.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…b49ebacked No | 56c | 22.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 77 | 71.4%55 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…1e49backed No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 863 | 62.9%543 W · 320 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 50c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872f…ab24backed Yes | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…59debacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…707fbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 277 | 69%191 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…c6bebacked No | 66c | 15.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 318 | 66%210 W · 108 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 76c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.