Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe80fa6dbaafe3f0d6942ab9d0c5769012d377cfe29b0dfce780d8037c488291b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 68c | 4,043$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.29 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 2,681$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.61 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 2,619$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.75 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 1,723$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.78 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 39c | 850.08$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.55 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Yes | 54c | 706.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.28 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 675.64$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 70c | 539.12$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…5ddabacked No | 42c | 475$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.57 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 58c | 412.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.69 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 30c | 373.87$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.58 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 40c | 372.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 68c | 359.12$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 50c | 354.6$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…cd3bbacked No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 31c | 313.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.61 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 70c | 275.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 48c | 225.61$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 179.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 56c | 137.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 124$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 61c | 121$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 100.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 86.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c45…f19abacked Yes | 33c | 81.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 23c | 81.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 75c | 80.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 20c | 73.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 61c | 66.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 64.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 63.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 68c | 59.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed No | 29c | 59.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a7…f411backed Yes | 37c | 58.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +198.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 28c | 53.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…475bbacked Yes | 37c | 53.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…5401backed Yes | 51c | 52.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…a11abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 23c | 47.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 43.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 30c | 41.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…d087backed No | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 45c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…23f1backed Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 69c | 37.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…b686backed No | 31c | 36.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 31.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 79c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 77c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 69c | 19.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 16.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 13.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.