Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b64b20aec5484de695c175fc83653c6671149e66c58a995f23b5be8c114305
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 80c | 5,200$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.17 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 2,537$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.76 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…bbe6backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +332.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 2,188$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.62 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 2,113$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 45c | 2,031$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.09 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 1,663$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.12 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 40c | 868.69$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.44 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 37c | 648.65$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 59c | 543.69$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.96 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 38c | 520.94$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 445$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 1,529 | 54.9%840 W · 689 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 332.58$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 30c | 277.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 59c | 244.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 38c | 242$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Yes | 9c | 201.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 31c | 193.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 773 | 42.6%329 W · 444 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 47c | 185$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 172.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 59c | 149.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 122$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 61c | 116.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 23c | 110.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 108.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 2,036 | 54.2%1,104 W · 932 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 100.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 46c | 99.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 40c | 78.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Yes | 40c | 49.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Yes | 30c | 46.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked No | 60c | 43.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 41c | 40.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 54c | 36.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 55c | 36.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Yes | 43c | 35.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 58c | 32.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 78c | 31.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…b8cabacked Yes | 42c | 27.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 40c | 27.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…76d4backed No | 58c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 54c | 20.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 54c | 20.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 59c | 18.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed No | 73c | 18.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.