TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

PARIVISION to win 2-0?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,591
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,591 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes68c11,500$7,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,63017948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed No31c5,213$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.521,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked No32c3,523$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.031,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked No32c2,797$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.511,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked No38c2,775$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.337236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Yes55c2,344$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.6936248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed No40c1,426$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.7118830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed No44c1,281$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.1934051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked No39c1,246$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.9725549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Yes61c1,153$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.022356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Yes58c989.77$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.791,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked No45c847.4$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9385851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4514557.9%84 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…da4fbacked Yes57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3447566.7%50 W · 25 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed No21c733.08$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.715950.3%80 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e0…6ec6backed Yes61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.744654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked No45c647.33$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.311955.5%66 W · 53 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Yes61c625.66$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2696245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes60c607.74$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9467555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked No32c598.67$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.424632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No42c500.1$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0419643.9%86 W · 110 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked No42c489.89$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9837754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes74c385.36$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5519249%94 W · 98 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed No44c381.4$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4110136.6%37 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked No40c299.06$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9911452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes72c291.63$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7258943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes72c226.72$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0458746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Yes61c222.26$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.278150.6%41 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked No21c218.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8766947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13b…701ebacked Yes62c216.13$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1311955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No43c211.34$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.889256.5%52 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes75c209.99$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9844049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6b…a307backed Yes62c209.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.688940.4%36 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Yes60c204.51$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5114643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked No42c169.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.926741.9%112 W · 155 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No31c167.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6312552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2917349.1%85 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Yes65c159.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5641864.1%268 W · 150 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Yes60c159$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0938547.5%183 W · 202 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes58c122.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.174158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked No41c116.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5831126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Yes57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.264553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Yes77c103.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8725150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3887645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3725354.5%138 W · 115 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3892561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed No42c92.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3941248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5b…62c7backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.727166.2%47 W · 24 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7537252.7%196 W · 176 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed No45c81.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7319156%107 W · 84 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x680a…0a15backed Yes58c81.05$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.993375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1486…cef3backed Yes62c76.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.232962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3352950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Yes58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.467853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0074…0767backed No43c64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No36c62.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4545139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes56c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.579341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8522453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes62c48.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6320763.3%131 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x101f…b386backed Yes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3932154.8%176 W · 145 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed Yes65c47.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6111946.2%55 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe04a…9eb8backed Yes61c47.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.664163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Yes62c46.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.544057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8619455.7%108 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes69c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0246354.6%253 W · 210 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1644474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae28…8883backed Yes62c38.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.614367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d6e…2175backed Yes57c34.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.643951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceea…ec81backed Yes59c33.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9512073.3%88 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed No42c33.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.084348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1720…747fbacked Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.269751.5%50 W · 47 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff77…b6b4backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.266152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Yes57c30.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3180544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc221…1ed3backed Yes62c30.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.693063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed No43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.997142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.444771.1%318 W · 129 L+27.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No40c28.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Yes60c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88045%36 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes64c22.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.156945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.810741.1%44 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes57c18.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.789248.9%45 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0beb…4503backed Yes62c16.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.