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Cricket · resolved market

Will India win?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x10ff…5088backed No34c20,600$7,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,567.9231843.1%137 W · 181 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes74c14,562$10,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,847.666845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd757…e192backed Yes2c10,810$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes50c6,662$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.5758437.3%218 W · 366 L-2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcdb…c4eebacked No68c5,453$3,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.9944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes47c5,427$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.3111163.1%70 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes75c3,967$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.7929049%142 W · 148 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04a…7cffbacked Yes74c3,820$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,839.811147.7%53 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes79c3,790$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.017663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3483…4637backed Yes2c3,166$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.168726.4%23 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Yes76c3,144$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No24c2,204$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.5664846.1%299 W · 349 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb19…e7a3backed Yes3c2,100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6519013.2%25 W · 165 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60f…f4b4backed No61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No34c1,917$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.0550047.2%236 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fff…9b0abacked Yes4c1,600$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No31c1,516$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.6729831.2%93 W · 205 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No34c1,472$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.9846548%223 W · 242 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes2c1,345$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.526524.6%16 W · 49 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No55c1,119$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.451844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3f…558ebacked Yes70c1,100$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.981216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36f2…f402backed Yes80c927.4$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd923…c515backed Yes16c848.57$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-66.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc295…dde9backed Yes76c840.35$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.666254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f5e…fecfbacked Yes70c714$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes7c606.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405637.5%21 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No29c599.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42912544.8%56 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5b…e7d8backed Yes80c540$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4323441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8373…f0bcbacked No24c506.39$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.86742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No46c475$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7820549.8%102 W · 103 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a34…92cdbacked Yes33c427.69$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Yes63c425$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.514952.3%78 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No30c420$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+69.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8d…30a5backed No23c419.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.755940.7%24 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+51.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Yes71c416.84$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2981866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8a…5271backed No32c397.36$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+81.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab6…a485backed Yes21c389.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.716031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0be…8d08backed Yes70c376.77$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.0620058.5%117 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e12…d0ecbacked Yes27c352.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7514517.2%25 W · 120 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+91.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…a2d2backed Yes62c312.38$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19310562.9%66 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe387…1eedbacked Yes26c305$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.93441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No20c286$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No34c281.18$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.581090%9 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick59cpaid+63%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9065…3275backed No28c279.13$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0612958.9%76 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes68c265$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4533441.3%138 W · 196 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes67c254$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-60.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No27c251.36$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.545855.2%32 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes6c228.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…699dbacked Yes72c225.64$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6867…e995backed Yes71c215.12$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.244146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No27c214.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.726243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b23…7193backed Yes64c210.91$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.025152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141156.1%7 W · 108 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9860…c343backed Yes68c199.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.992365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe7…0c14backed Yes37c194.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.068435.7%30 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes73c179.65$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.13831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f7…365fbacked Yes18c171.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.942142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf4…7e67backed Yes73c171.87$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes75c171.74$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5627429.9%82 W · 192 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aec…a376backed Yes74c157.02$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.696640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No24c143.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.829935.4%35 W · 64 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…07c3backed Yes77c140.05$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.541637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x083f…a55fbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac4d…066dbacked Yes73c134.38$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9822946.7%107 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No28c128.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.191050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf6b7…47e7backed Yes74c125.74$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6acd…07babacked Yes80c123.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.57061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016043.8%70 W · 90 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No28c110.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+66%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x890a…43cebacked Yes75c110.47$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes74c108.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019565.6%128 W · 67 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x472e…5425backed Yes67c104.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b8…0f33backed Yes75c104.22$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x974a…8efdbacked Yes39c101.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9414…0c42backed Yes50c96.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.066939.1%27 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cd…2e2dbacked Yes78c95.16$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+74.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf5…3ea3backed Yes70c89.2$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.545957.6%34 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes66c80$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.82433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No27c79.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+267.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab63…29bdbacked Yes76c79.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e0…585bbacked Yes72c78.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.162161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3587…7715backed Yes76c78.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9527…888bbacked No67c76.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No58c73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.871457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3247…d87dbacked Yes75c72.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+72.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5681…be03backed Yes71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No27c70$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+121.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x414b…f2b3backed Yes80c69.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.814854.2%26 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99db…c2f4backed Yes49c69.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x404a…575dbacked Yes73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No27c68.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508750.6%44 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78be…330dbacked Yes76c66.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes75c65.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.29361.3%57 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc554…efffbacked Yes43c62.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ca21backed Yes36c61.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4620442.2%86 W · 118 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed No33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6113549.6%67 W · 68 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.562245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93dc…59f2backed Yes38c53.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e51…2f65backed Yes41c52.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+42.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.