Cricket · resolved market
Will the match end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40409046394513b64c73cd4e1dbfb416647d951006675a158fbb3dd6263a0a9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 15c | 19,554$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed No | 2c | 17,223$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 42c | 4,355$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.08 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 73c | 4,021$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.96 | 290 | 49%142 W · 148 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 20c | 3,296$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.16 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 59c | 2,876$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.01 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 6c | 2,850$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.38 | 135 | 26.7%36 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 19c | 2,565$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.59 | 465 | 48%223 W · 242 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 27c | 2,197$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.06 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 79c | 1,926$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.66 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 13c | 1,706$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 56c | 1,498$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.94 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,292$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 300 | 32.7%98 W · 202 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 50c | 1,119$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,013$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.62 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 50c | 956.41$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.9 | 298 | 31.2%93 W · 205 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…f9f7backed Yes | 21c | 925.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…d3a4backed Yes | 51c | 860$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Yes | 18c | 832.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.12 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…c4eebacked Yes | 14c | 693.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…07c3backed Yes | 76c | 491.11$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…bce2backed Yes | 10c | 474$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 37c | 471.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 584 | 37.3%218 W · 366 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…0cd7backed Yes | 23c | 439.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…dd44backed Yes | 74c | 410.75$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 18c | 377.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.09 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…a376backed Yes | 52c | 344.97$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.14 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…fecfbacked Yes | 30c | 335.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 33c | 299$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…3ea3backed Yes | 18c | 280.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 5c | 232.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed Yes | 24c | 187.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed No | 15c | 177.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…2e2dbacked Yes | 29c | 174.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…624cbacked No | 9c | 163.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…963ebacked Yes | 75c | 146.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1e…102cbacked Yes | 69c | 123.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 18c | 108.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 145 | 22.8%33 W · 112 L | -13.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Yes | 57c | 101.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…234abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd486…bfc8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2829…4140backed Yes | 23c | 94.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +330.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Yes | 20c | 90.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 190 | 30%57 W · 133 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 62c | 80.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…7193backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…8a39backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…4503backed Yes | 49c | 68.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 79c | 67.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…beabbacked Yes | 24c | 60.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…9266backed Yes | 27c | 42.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc883…4ea1backed No | 68c | 41.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 75cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ad…eb58backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 79c | 37.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed No | 79c | 35.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…54f6backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…6367backed Yes | 64c | 16.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match end in a draw?this page
- Will India win?No won
- Will Sri Lanka win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.